Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/16/2022

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Aug 15, 2022
Game Time: 7:07 pm ET, Tuesday, August 16, 2022
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  SNET

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +175, Blue Jays -205; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +175, Blue Jays -205; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +175, Blue Jays -205; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
 

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  59-55 (4th place, AL East)
Toronto Blue Jays:  61-52 (2nd place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  3-7 last 10
 
 
 

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis

 
The Orioles enter this game on a 2 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 59-55 record overall and have a road record of 26-34. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .698 OPS. Rookie pitcher Kyle Bradish is their starting pitcher on Monday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 4-4 with a 3.69 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 6 hits through 5.2 IP against the Boston Red Sox. 
 
The Blue Jays lost 4 of their last 5 games and enter this game off of a loss. They lost their last series against the Cleveland Guardians 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 61-52 record overall and have a home record of 35-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday with the 1st game still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .759 OPS. Yusei Kikuchi is their starting pitcher on Monday while Alek Manoah is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 12-5 with a 2.56 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 8 hits through 5 IP against the Baltimore Orioles. 

 

Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a favorite in this game. The Blue Jays have not been playing well in their recent games, even playing at home here in their last series, but they have their ace in Manoah on the mound here and they should be able to turn this game into a win with him pitching. Manoah rarely has a bad start and he has not allowed many runs in any of his starts this season. He has been a lights out pitcher since coming into the MLB and he is their best chance at winning games, especially at home. The Orioles have been very good over the last few weeks but they have been starting to slip in their recent games with a lot of losses, and their offense has not been great either. They will struggle to score runs in this game while the Jays score runs with ease here as Kremer has not been anything special this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays on the runline.
 
Orioles Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 16, 2022 (7:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 5 Orioles 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Baltimore Orioles: 59-55 (+25.1 Units) ML in all games. 45-49 (+18.5 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 12-6 OVER as an underdog of +200 or more.
Toronto Blue Jays: 61-52 (-17.4 Units) ML in all games. 35-23 (-7.9 Units) ML in home games. 22-16 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Baltimore Orioles:  J. Arauz (2B) Late Aug - Finger. T. Wells (RP) Early Sept - Oblique. R. Mountcastle (1B) Ques Mon - Hand.
Toronto Blue Jays:  R. Stripling (RP) Late Aug - Hip. J. Merryweather (RP) Late Sept - Oblique. T. Mayza (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We just stayed with the same game plan going into that last inning. We weren't trying to change anything. Credit to the pitcher. He pitched a really good game." - Jorge Mateo after their loss against the Rays on Sunday.
 
 
"They did a good job running up my pitch count." - Kevin Gausman after their loss against the Guardians on Sunday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Anthony Santander (S) DH
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Austin Hays (R) LF
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
Tyler Nevin (R) 1B
Brett Phillips (L) RF
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Vladimir Guerrero (R) 1B
Alejandro Kirk (R) C
Teoscar Hernandez (R) DH
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Raimel Tapia (L) CF
Whit Merrifield (R) 2B
Santiago Espinal (R) SS
Cavan Biggio (L) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Terrin Vavra (.313)
Hits:  Cedric Mullins (116)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (20)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (60)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (27)
Wins:  Jordan Lyles (9)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (6)
ERA:  Louis Head (0.00)
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Jackie Bradley (.333)
Hits:  Vladimir Guerrero (123)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (23)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (69)
Stolen Bases:  George Springer (10)
Wins:  Alek Manoah (12)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (26)
ERA:  Bowden Francis (0.00)
 
Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (Interim)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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