Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/06/2023

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Thursday, July 6, 2023

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Where to Watch:  YES

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -125, Yankees +105; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -125, Yankees +105; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -125, Yankees +105; Over/Under:  9 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  49-35 (2nd place, AL East)

New York Yankees:  48-38 (3rd place, AL East)

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Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10

New York Yankees:  7-3 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series off of a win but lost their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-35 record overall and have a road record of 23-17. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. They also lost the series opener and the 2nd game of this series on Monday and Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Dean Kremer is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Kyle Bradish is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 4-4 with a 3.58 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Yankees are entering this series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 48-38 record overall and have a home record of 27-19. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. They also won the 1st game and the 2nd game of this series on Monday and Tuesday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Rookie pitcher Randy Vásquez is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Luis Severino is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-3 with a 6.30 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 earned runs, 2 homers, and 3 BB with 2 strikeouts on 9 hits through 4 innings played against the St Louis Cardinals.

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles are holding down the 2nd place spot in the AL East right now and they have the Yankees hot on their tail. They have already lost some ground here by losing the first 2 games of this series, but they still have a chance to salvage it and will be desperate for a win in this game. Regardless of what happens in game 3 of this series, the Orioles need a win here to either split the series or salvage it with at least 1 win and they finally have a favorable pitching matchup in this game. The Orioles are going with Bradish here and he has been pitching a lot better in his starts lately as he finds his rhythm and has been giving up less and less runs now. The Yankees don't have a great offense this season either so he will be able to keep their offense at bay with how good he has been lately. The Yankees are going with Severino here and he has been really up and down in his starts this year as he does have some good starts under his belt, but also quite a few where he gave up a ton of runs. The Orioles do have a really good offense too and they are going to be leaning on that here as they need to get something going offensively to win this game. The Orioles will get their scoring opportunities in this game and will grind out a much needed win here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Orioles Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 6, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 4 Yankees 1.

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Baltimore Orioles: 49-35 (+14.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-11 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. KYLE BRADISH is 7-1 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150 and 7-1 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10.

New York Yankees: 15-21 (-6.5 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 14-15 (-5 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 8.5 to 10. 36-26 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150. 27-18 UNDER in home games.

Baltimore Orioles:  A. Hays (LF) Ques Wed - Hip. C. Perez (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. A. Voth (SP) Mid July - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  C. Rodon (SP) Prob Fri - Elbow. F. Montas (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. A. Judge (RF) Early Aug - Toe. W. Calhoun (DH) Mid July - Quadricep. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Allen (CF) Early Aug - Hip. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Gil (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“We’ve got to keep our head up a little bit and get the ball in a little quicker.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Yankees in their game on Tuesday.

“That was a very instinctive play. It gets him in trouble sometimes, and had they thrown him out of the play, you guys would probably be asking about it. Instead, the crowd goes wild. So it’s that fine line." - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Tuesday.

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Adley Rutschman (S) DH

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Aaron Hicks (S) LF

Jordan Westburg (R) 3B

Adam Frazier (L) 2B

James McCann (R) C

Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B

Gleyber Torres (R) 2B

Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH

Jake Bauers (L) RF

Harrison Bader (R) CF

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) 3B

Oswaldo Cabrera (S) LF

Jose Trevino (R) C

Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.312)

Hits:  Austin Hays (87)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (14)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (47)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (22)

Wins:  Kyle Gibson (8)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (22)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.291)

Hits:  Gleyber Torres (78)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (19)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (40)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (16)

Wins:  Gerrit Cole (8)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (10)

ERA:  Tommy Kahnle (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)