Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/05/2023

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Wednesday, July 5, 2023

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Where to Watch:  Amazon Prime Video

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -125, Yankees +105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -125, Yankees +105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -125, Yankees +105; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  49-34 (2nd place, AL East)

New York Yankees:  47-38 (3rd place, AL East)

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Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10

New York Yankees:  6-4 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series off of a win but lost their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-34 record overall and have a road record of 23-16. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .733 OPS. Kyle Gibson is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 8-4 with a 5.04 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 7 hits through 3 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Yankees are entering this series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-38 record overall and have a home record of 26-19. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .712 OPS. Clarke Schmidt is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Randy Vásquez is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-1 with a 1.74 ERA this season. His team won their last game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 3 strikeouts on 2 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Chicago White Sox.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have been playing a lot better in their games lately and this is a big series for them as they are closing the gap on the Orioles in the standings. The Orioles haven't been playing great lately as they are starting to regress a little now and the Yankees are going to be looking to take advantage of that in this series and use it to gain some momentum that will put them on a big run. The Yankees already have the best bullpen in the MLB and they are going to have a solid starter on the mound here with Vasquez. Vasquez hasn't made many starts in the MLB but he has been really good in the few appearances he has made. This Orioles offense also hasn't been great in their games lately either as they have entered this mini slump. The Orioles have Kremer on the mound here and he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts all year, which isn't going to be good when their bullpen hasn't been that great either. The Yankees are starting to gain some momentum at home now and they have the better pitching matchup in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Orioles Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 5, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 5 Orioles 1.

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Baltimore Orioles: 49-34 (+15.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-11 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. DEAN KREMER is 6-3 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150 and 20-11 UNDER in night games.

New York Yankees: 14-21 (-7.5 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 13-15 (-6 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 8.5 to 10. 26-18 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 27-17 UNDER in home games.

Baltimore Orioles:  A. Hays (LF) Ques Tues - Hip. J. Westburg (3B) Ques Tues - Hand. A. Voth (SP) Mid July - Elbow. J. McCann (C) Mid July - Ankle. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  C. Rodon (SP) Prob Fri - Elbow. F. Montas (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. A. Judge (RF) Out indefinitely - Toe. W. Calhoun (DH) Mid July - Quadricep. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Allen (CF) Early Aug - Hip. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Gil (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“We had 12 hits and only scored three runs. We had multiple opportunities to extend the lead a few times and that’s disappointing, but they just beat us with homers tonight." - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Yankees in their game on Monday.

“I was only going to play it for one pitch probably there and then he did the rest. Got a hanger and did good things with a hanger.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Monday.

Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Anthony Santander (S) DH

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Ramon Urias (R) 2B

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Aaron Hicks (S) LF

Adam Frazier (L) RF

Jorge Mateo (R) SS

DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B

Gleyber Torres (R) 2B

Giancarlo Stanton (R) RF

Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B

Harrison Bader (R) CF

Josh Donaldson (R) DH

Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) LF

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Kyle Higashioka (R) C

Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.312)

Hits:  Austin Hays (87)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (14)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (47)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (22)

Wins:  Kyle Gibson (8)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (22)

ERA:  Nick Vespi (0.00)

Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.291)

Hits:  Anthony Rizzo (77)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (19)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (40)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (16)

Wins:  Gerrit Cole (8)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (10)

ERA:  Tommy Kahnle (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)