Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/04/2023

Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY

Where to Watch:  YES

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +100, Yankees -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +100, Yankees -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +100, Yankees -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  49-33 (2nd place, AL East)

New York Yankees:  46-38 (3rd place, AL East)

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Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10

New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series off of a win but lost their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-33 record overall and have a road record of 23-15. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .734 OPS. Tyler Wells is their starting pitcher on Monday while Kyle Gibson is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 8-5 with a 4.66 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 9 hits through 4.2 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.

The Yankees are entering this series off of a loss and lost their 3-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-38 record overall and have a home record of 25-19. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .707 OPS. Domingo Germán is their starting pitcher on Monday while Clarke Schmidt is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-6 with a 4.37 ERA this season. His team lost 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 3 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Oakland Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees and the Orioles are fighting to climb the standings in the AL East as they both trail the Rays for the lead of the division so this is going to be a very important series to both teams. The Orioles have been really good all season with a really good offense while the Yankees have had great pitching but a much weaker offense. The Yankees haven't been great with their pitching in their games lately but they still have one of the best bullpens in the league and will be looking to have a better series back at home against a division opponent. They do have Schmidt starting in this game and he had some really rough starts at the start of the season, but he has been pitching a lot better lately giving up a lot less runs and the Orioles offense has also been cooling off in their games too. He will continue pitching well at home here while the Yankees offense gets a spark with Gibson on the mound for the Orioles. Gibson leads the Orioles in wins this season but he has been slipping up in his starts lately giving up more and more runs. He gave up 6 runs in his last start and he doesn't really have a great bullpen to back him up either if he gets into too much trouble here. The Yankees are also going to be trying to turn things around here and they know how important this series is since they are only a few games behind the Orioles in 2nd place. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Orioles Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 4, 2023 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 4 Orioles 2.

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Baltimore Orioles: 49-33 (+16.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-10 (+14.3 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. KYLE GIBSON is 20-10 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 and 7-1 UNDER after getting hit for 5+ runs in his last 2 outings.

New York Yankees: 13-21 (-8.5 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 11-15 (-4.2 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 26-17 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 27-16 UNDER in home games.

Baltimore Orioles:  A. Hays (LF) Ques Mon - Hip. A. Voth (SP) Mid July - Elbow. J. McCann (C) Mid July - Ankle. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  C. Rodon (SP) Prob Fri - Elbow. F. Montas (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. A. Judge (RF) Out indefinitely - Toe. W. Calhoun (DH) Mid July - Quadricep. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Allen (CF) Early Aug - Hip. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. Gil (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.

“My whole goal going into that at-bat was to do anything to get that run across and help the team get a win.” - Jordan Westburg after their win against the Twins in their game on Sunday.

“Monty was pretty tough on us and got himself into control on us. I had a little bit of an issue there on how they got their relief pitcher in the game therein the seventh inning in my view and when they weren't prepared for that in my view and when PitchCom malfunctioned to stall and things like that. I thought that wasn't handled correctly.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s loss against the Cardinals in their game on Sunday.

Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B

Adley Rutschman (S) DH

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Austin Hays (R) LF

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Ramon Urias (R) 1B

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Anthony Bemboom (L) C

DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B

Gleyber Torres (R) 2B

Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH

Harrison Bader (R) CF

Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) RF

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Jake Bauers (L) 1B

Jose Trevino (R) C

Oswaldo Cabrera (S) LF

Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.312)

Hits:  Austin Hays (87)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (14)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (47)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (22)

Wins:  Kyle Gibson (8)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (22)

ERA:  Nick Vespi (0.00)

Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.291)

Hits:  Anthony Rizzo (76)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (19)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (40)

Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (16)

Wins:  Gerrit Cole (8)

Saves:  Clay Holmes (9)

ERA:  Tommy Kahnle (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)