Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/23/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, May 22, 2023
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, May 23, 2023
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  YES


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +140, Yankees -165; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +140, Yankees -165; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +140, Yankees -165; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Season Record

Baltimore Orioles:  31-16 (2nd place, AL East)
New York Yankees:  29-20 (3rd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10
New York Yankees:  8-2 last 10



Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Orioles are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak after completing the sweep in a 3-game series over the Toronto Blue Jays in their last series. They enter this game with a 31-16 record overall and have a road record of 16-8. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .757 OPS. Dean Kremer was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Kyle Bradish is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-1 with a 3.90 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 6.2 IP against the Los Angeles Angels.

The Yankees are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak after completing the sweep in a 3-game series over the Cincinnati Reds in their last series. They enter this game with a 29-20 record overall and have a home record of 16-10. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .728 OPS. Luis Severino was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-0 with a 2.01 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.


Orioles vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees are off to a good start this season with their 29-20 record overall, they aren't anywhere near as dominant as they were in the division last season but they are starting to play a lot better now and moving up the standings. The Orioles have also improved a lot from last season as they were on the rise last year but have now been surging out of the gate this season since they are now in 2nd place in their division, which is also the toughest division in the MLB. As hot as the Orioles have been, the Yankees have been just as hot lately and they have a better pitching matchup in this game. The Orioles are starting Bradish here and he has been good but he is also in his 2nd ever season as an MLB starter and has still been streaky in his starts this year. The Yankees are starting Cole in this game though and he has not only been a reliable starter in the MLB for years, but he is also off to a great start himself as he has been pitching really well for them. The Orioles have been good but will struggle to score runs in this game and their pitching really hasn't been great this season so the Yankees have the edge in this game at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.

Orioles Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, May 23, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 7 Orioles 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Baltimore Orioles: 31-16 (+15.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 19-6 (+15.1 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 12-7 UNDER off 3 straight upset wins over division rivals as a road underdog. 6-2 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins. 

New York Yankees: 92-78 (-19 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 156-116 (-11.3 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 12-5 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 20-10 UNDER after 7 or more consecutive road games.

Key Injuries


Baltimore Orioles:  D. Tate (RP) Early June - Forearm. R. Urias (3B) Early June - Hamstring. J. Means (SP) Mid July - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  T. Kahnle (RP) Early June - Bicep. C. Rodon (SP) Early June - Elbow. J. Donaldson (3B) Early June - Hamstring. I. Hamilton (RP) Mid June - Groin. J. Trevino (C) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. German (SP) Elig May 28 - Suspension. F. Montas (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. G. Stanton (RF) Mid June - Hamstring. L. Gil (RP) Mid July - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“He’s just playing an unbelievable brand of baseball right now, on both sides.” - Brandon Hyde on Cedric Mullins after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Sunday.


“We’ve got some guys back, but we have been beat up.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Adley Rutschman (S) DH
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
Austin Hays (R) LF
Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B
James McCann (R) C
Joey Ortiz (R) SS

New York Yankees
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
DJ LeMahieu (R) 3B
Willie Calhoun (L) DH
Harrison Bader (R) CF
Jake Bauers (L) RF
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) LF
Kyle Higashioka (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.311)
Hits:  Cedric Mullins (49)
Home Runs:  Ryan Mountcastle (10)
RBI:  Cedric Mullins (38)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (14)
Wins:  Dean Kremer (5)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (11)
ERA:  Yennier Cano (0.38)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Greg Allen (1.000)
Hits:  Anthony Rizzo (54)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (13)
RBI:  Aaron Judge (32)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (13)
Wins:  Gerrit Cole (5)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (5)
ERA:  Ian Hamilton (1.23)

Managers:
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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