Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/09/2023

Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Sunday, July 9, 2023

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  BSN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +125, Twins -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +125, Twins -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +125, Twins -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  52-35 (2nd place, AL East)

Minnesota Twins:  45-44 (1st place, AL Central)

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Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and split their 4-game series against the New York Yankees 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-35 record overall and have a road record of 26-17. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Twins on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .741 OPS. Tyler Wells is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Kyle Gibson is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 8-6 with a 4.73 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 4 BB with 4 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP against the New York Yankees.

The Twins are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-44 record overall and have a home record of 26-20. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .711 OPS. Sonny Gray is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Joe Ryan is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 8-5 with a 3.42 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 9 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings played against the Kansas City Royals.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins haven't been great this season with their record that is barely staying above .500 but they are leading the AL Central with the only record over .500 and they have been playing better in their games lately too. The Orioles have been really good all season but they have also been really up and down in their games lately and the Twins can take advantage of this pitching matchup in their favor since they have been a lot better in their home games all year. The Twins have Ryan starting here and he has been their ace this season, not giving up many runs in any of his starts and also leading the rotation in wins too. The Orioles offense has been good this season but they haven't been putting up as many runs in their games lately and Ryan will definitely be able to shut them down at home with how good he has been all season. The Orioles have Gibson starting here and the Orioles have had some success with him on the mound this season, but he has also been giving up quite a few runs in a lot of his starts and the Orioles offense usually pulls through for him. It will be much tougher for the Orioles offense to put up runs on Ryan here though and the Twins will have a very good chance at taking this game just like they won the series against the Orioles on the road last week. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game.

Orioles Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 9, 2023 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Twins 3 Orioles 0.

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Baltimore Orioles: 52-35 (+17.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 26-17 (+13.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. 11-4 OVER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 16-7 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Minnesota Twins: 45-44 (-9.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 37-38 (-10.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. JOE RYAN is 8-2 OVER against AL East opponents and 8-4 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher. 

Baltimore Orioles:  A. Hays (LF) Out Indefinitely - Hip. C. Perez (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. A. Voth (SP) Mid July - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

Minnesota Twins:  C. Sands (SP) day-to-day - Shoulder. R. Lewis (SS) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Thielbar (RP) Late July - Oblique. J. Alcala (RP) Late July - Forearm. B. Stewart (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. De Leon (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. J. Polanco (SS) Mid July - Hamstring. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

“Where would we be without Bautista? He was just amazing.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Twins in their game on Friday.

“Who else do you want on the mound? That’s the guy we’re going to turn to if he’s rested and if it all makes sense.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s loss against the Orioles in their game on Friday.

Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan O'Hearn (L) DH

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

Colton Cowser (L) LF

Ramon Urias (R) 1B

James McCann (R) C

Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Donovan Solano (R) 1B

Byron Buxton (R) DH

Kyle Farmer (R) 2B

Willi Castro (S) LF

Jose Miranda (R) 3B

Christian Vazquez (R) C

Max Kepler (L) RF

Michael A. Taylor (R) CF

Batting Average:  Jordan Westburg (.314)

Hits:  Austin Hays (87)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (14)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (47)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (22)

Wins:  Dean Kremer (9)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (23)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Batting Average:  Matt Wallner (.368)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (68)

Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (15)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (38)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (19)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (12)

ERA:  Brock Stewart (0.70)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)