Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/08/2023

Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 8, 2023

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  BSN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -115, Twins -105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -115, Twins -105; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles -115, Twins -105; Over/Under:  8 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  51-35 (2nd place, AL East)

Minnesota Twins:  45-43 (1st place, AL Central)

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Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  6-4 last 10

The Orioles are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and split their 4-game series against the New York Yankees 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-35 record overall and have a road record of 25-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Cole Irvin is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tyler Wells is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 6-4 with a 3.19 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the New York Yankees.

The Twins are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-43 record overall and have a home record of 26-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Bailey Ober is their starting pitcher on Friday while Sonny Gray is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 4-2 with a 2.50 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 7 strikeouts on 2 hits through 6 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins have been really mediocre as a team this season, they lead the AL Central right now with the best record but are only 2 games above .500. They have been playing a lot better lately though as they look to keep their lead in the division over the Guardians and they just beat up on this Orioles team last week in a series on the road. The Orioles come into this series winning their last 2 games against the Yankees which salvaged that series for them and maintained their lead over the Yankees in the division, but they definitely haven't been at their best lately and the Twins can take advantage of that here since they have been a much better home team this season. The Twins are also starting Gray in this game who has not only been pitching great all season with very few runs given up, but he also shut down the Orioles lineup in their game just last week and will be looking to do the same again. The Orioles have Wells starting here and he hasn't been bad this season since he doesn't give up a ton of runs in his starts, but he doesn't put up many shutout performances either and that will be a problem against a team that shut them down in almost every game last series they met. The Twins also have a much better offense at home that will be able to keep up with the Orioles offense that hasn't been as good lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game.

Orioles Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 8, 2023 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Twins 4 Orioles 1.

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Baltimore Orioles: 51-35 (+16.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 25-17 (+12.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 11-4 OVER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 16-6 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Minnesota Twins: 45-43 (-7.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 37-37 (-9 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. SONNY GRAY is 21-13 OVER against AL East opponents and 9-5 OVER after giving up no earned runs last outing. 

Baltimore Orioles:  A. Hays (LF) Ques Fri - Hip. C. Perez (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. A. Voth (SP) Mid July - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

Minnesota Twins:  C. Sands (SP) day-to-day - Shoulder. R. Lewis (SS) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Thielbar (RP) Late July - Oblique. J. Alcala (RP) Late July - Forearm. B. Stewart (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. De Leon (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. J. Polanco (SS) Mid July - Hamstring. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

“That was amazing. He’s got so much power and to be able to go opposite field the way he did in the top of the first — spraying the ball around hard, really exciting young player with a ton of tools.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Yankees in their game on Thursday.

“That was a `Here I am’ performance.'” - Rocco Baldelli on Pablo Lopez after his team’s win against the Royals in their game on Wednesday.

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Cedric Mullins (L) DH

Colton Cowser (L) CF

Jordan Westburg (R) 2B

Adam Frazier (L) LF

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Edouard Julien (L) 2B

Byron Buxton (R) DH

Alex Kirilloff (L) 1B

Max Kepler (L) RF

Donovan Solano (R) 3B

Willi Castro (S) CF

Joey Gallo (L) LF

Ryan Jeffers (R) C

Batting Average:  Jordan Westburg (.323)

Hits:  Austin Hays (87)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (14)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (47)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (22)

Wins:  Dean Kremer (9)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (23)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Batting Average:  Matt Wallner (.368)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (67)

Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (15)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (38)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (18)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (12)

ERA:  Brock Stewart (0.70)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)