Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/07/2023

Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Friday, July 7, 2023

Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  Apple TV+

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +120, Twins -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +120, Twins -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +120, Twins -140; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  50-35 (2nd place, AL East)

Minnesota Twins:  45-43 (1st place, AL Central)

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Baltimore Orioles:  4-6 last 10

Minnesota Twins:  6-4 last 10

The Orioles entered their last series off of a win but lost their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-1. They enter this game with a 50-35 record overall and have a road record of 24-17. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Twins on Friday with the series finale of their series against the New York Yankees still to be played on Thursday. They also lost the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Monday and Tuesday but won the 3rd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .737 OPS. Kyle Bradish is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Cole Irvin is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-3 with a 6.32 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 1 K on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Twins are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Kansas City Royals in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-43 record overall and have a home record of 26-19. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .714 OPS. Pablo López was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Bailey Ober is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 5-4 with a 2.70 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 8 strikeouts on 2 hits through 7 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins have been playing a lot better lately as they have boosted themselves over .500 once again and are in the lead of the AL Central. They have been a lot better in their home games this season and they just won their series against the Orioles last week on the road. The Orioles really haven't been any better since that series though as they have slipped into a mini slump lately and haven't been at their best. The Twins will be looking to take advantage of that now that they are the home team in this series and they do have a better pitching matchup here. The Twins are going with Ober in this game and he has been a solid starter for them this season since he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts but he also shut down the Orioles lineup just last week on the road and will now be looking to do the same at home here. Meanwhile, the Orioles have Irvin starting and he has been terrible in most of his starts this season. He pitched well in his last start but that has been the exception not the rule for him since he has been giving up a ton of runs in a majority of his starts all year and he is not going to pitch any better in this road game with the Twins playing a lot better now. The Twins have some momentum now from their sweep over the Royals and will be looking to finish on a big run before the All-Star break. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game.

Orioles Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 7, 2023 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Twins 8 Orioles 2.

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Baltimore Orioles: 50-35 (+15.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 24-17 (+11.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 25-16 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher. 15-6 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Minnesota Twins: 45-43 (-7.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 37-37 (-9 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. 23-14 OVER after 2 straight games where they stranded 5 or less runners on base. 23-15 OVER after 3 straight wins by 4 runs or more. 

Baltimore Orioles:  A. Hays (LF) Ques Thurs - Hip. C. Perez (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. A. Voth (SP) Mid July - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Mountcastle (1B) Out indefinitely - Illness. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.

Minnesota Twins:  C. Sands (SP) day-to-day - Shoulder. R. Lewis (SS) Out indefinitely - Oblique. C. Thielbar (RP) Late July - Oblique. J. Alcala (RP) Late July - Forearm. B. Stewart (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. J. De Leon (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Gordon (2B) Out indefinitely - Shin. J. Polanco (SS) Mid July - Hamstring. T. Mahle (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Paddack (SP) Early Sept - Elbow.

“What a nice debut. Huge hit for us, first walk. He played a really good game.” - Brandon Hyde on Colton Cowser after his team’s win against the Yankees in their game on Wednesday.

“That was a `Here I am’ performance.'” - Rocco Baldelli on Pablo Lopez after his team’s win against the Royals in their game on Wednesday.

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Aaron Hicks (S) DH

Colton Cowser (L) LF

Jordan Westburg (R) 3B

Adam Frazier (L) 2B

Carlos Correa (R) SS

Edouard Julien (L) 2B

Byron Buxton (R) DH

Alex Kirilloff (L) 1B

Max Kepler (L) RF

Donovan Solano (R) 3B

Willi Castro (S) CF

Joey Gallo (L) LF

Ryan Jeffers (R) C

Batting Average:  Colton Cowser (.333)

Hits:  Austin Hays (87)

Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (14)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (47)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (22)

Wins:  Dean Kremer (9)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (23)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Batting Average:  Matt Wallner (.368)

Hits:  Carlos Correa (67)

Home Runs:  Byron Buxton (15)

RBI:  Carlos Correa (38)

Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (18)

Wins:  Joe Ryan (8)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (12)

ERA:  Brock Stewart (0.70)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)

Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (5th season)