Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/01/2023

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, April 1, 2023

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  NESN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +145, Red Sox -170; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +145, Red Sox -170; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Orioles +145, Red Sox -170; Over/Under:  9 runs

Baltimore Orioles:  1-0 (4th place, AL East)

Boston Red Sox:  0-1 (5th place, AL East)

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Baltimore Orioles:  1-0 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  0-1 last 10

The Orioles are entering this game off a win in their last game. They enter this game with a 1-0 record overall and have a road record of 1-0. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Saturday and they have Friday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a 1.179 OPS. Kyle Gibson was their starting pitcher on Thursday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Saturday. He was 8-7 with a 3.23 ERA last season. His team lost their last 2 straight games last season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Red Sox are entering this game off a loss in their last game. They enter this game with a 0-1 record overall and have a home record of 0-1. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Saturday and they have a rest day on Friday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .819 OPS. Corey Kluber was their starting pitcher on Thursday while Chris Sale is making his start in this game on Saturday. He was 0-1 with a 3.18 ERA last season. His team lost their only 2 games last season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 0 strikeouts on 2 hits through 0.2 innings played against the New York Yankees.

The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox just had a terrible season last year and things haven't been great for them already as they opened their season with a 10-9 loss at home. Their lineup showed that they can still put up plenty of runs, despite losing some big bats over the last few years, and they should still have an easy time scoring in this game with Kremer on the mound. Kremer was alright last season but he was also very inconsistent in his starts and will be vulnerable to giving up some runs against this Red Sox lineup. The Red Sox are going with Chris Sale here and even though he has missed a lot of time over the last year, only starting in 2 games last season, he has still been a really consistent and reliable starter throughout his career. Sale will do his best to shut the Orioles lineup down here while the Red Sox will be able to support him with plenty of runs in this game. They will also be looking to bounce back in a big way after losing at home on opening day and almost coming back too in that 10-9 loss. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game. 

Orioles Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, April 1, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 7 Orioles 4.

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Baltimore Orioles: 28-30 (+11.9 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +125 to +175. 43-58 (+12.4 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10. 34-19 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175.

Boston Red Sox: 53-47 (-15.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -125 to -175. 71-87 (-20.6 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 30-18 UNDER in April games.

Baltimore Orioles:  J. McCann (C) Mid April - Oblique. D. Tate (RP) Early May - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid July - Elbow. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Boston Red Sox:  J. Paxton (SP) Mid April - Hamstring. B. Bello (SP) Late April - Elbow. J. Rodriguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique. W. Mills (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee. G. Whitlock (RP) Mid April - Hip. T. Story (2B) Mid July - Elbow.

“To have that close game in the ninth inning and the crowd get so loud. You kind of sit there and say, ‘This is pretty cool.’” - Adley Rutschman after their win against the Red Sox in their game on Thursday.

“Less than ideal. Didn't turn out the way I would have hoped for.” - Corey Kluber on his 1st start of the season after their loss against the Orioles in their game on Thursday.

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Adley Rutschman (S) C

Anthony Santander (S) LF

Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B

Gunnar Henderson (L) DH

Ramon Urias (R) 3B

Austin Hays (R) RF

Adam Frazier (L) 2B

Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Alex Verdugo (L) RF

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Justin Turner (R) DH

Masataka Yoshida (L) LF

Adam Duvall (R) CF

Triston Casas (L) 1B

Christian Arroyo (R) 2B

Reese McGuire (L) C

Enrique Hernandez (R) SS

Batting Average:  Adley Rutschman (1.000)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (5)

Home Runs:  Adley Rutschman (1)

RBI:  Adley Rutschman (4)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (2)

Wins:  Kyle Gibson (1)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (1)

ERA:  Keegan Akin (0.00)

Batting Average:  Reese McGuire (.500)

Hits:  Rafael Devers (2)

Home Runs:  N/A

RBI:  Christian Arroyo (2)

Stolen Bases:  N/A

Wins:  N/A

Saves:  N/A

ERA:  Josh Winckowski (0.00)

Managers:

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)