Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/05/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 5, 2023

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  BSGL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -145, Guardians +125; Over/Under:  10 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -145, Guardians +125; Over/Under:  10 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -145, Guardians +125; Over/Under:  10 runs

Atlanta Braves:  57-27 (1st place, NL East)

Cleveland Guardians:  41-43 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Atlanta Braves:  9-1 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  5-5 last 10

The Braves are entering this series on an 8 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-27 record overall and have a road record of 27-12. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .837 OPS. Kolby Allard is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Michael Soroka is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 1-1 with a 6.89 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 0 BB with 7 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Guardians are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-43 record overall and have a home record of 20-20. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .684 OPS. Shane Bieber is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Cal Quantrill is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-5 with a 6.18 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 6 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 1 strikeout on 8 hits through 3.1 innings played against the Chicago Cubs.

The current betting odds have the Braves listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have been on a roll lately as they have the best offense in the MLB and they now have the best record in the entire MLB too. Meanwhile, the Guardians have been struggling this year with a losing record and are trying to chase down the Twins for the lead of their division, but they also have a terrible offense that is one of the worst in the MLB and they won't be able to keep up with the Braves in this game. The Guardians have Quantrill starting here and he hasn't been good this season since he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts. The Braves have been crushing the ball lately and they are going to get after Quantrill for some runs here with how bad he has been all season. The Braves have Soroka starting here and he hasn't been great this season either but he is also returning from an injury that has kept him out a while and hasn't made many starts this season. He has given up some runs in his few starts but he is still trying to get into a groove this year and couldn't ask for a softer landing spot here with this bad Guardians offense. The Braves will take advantage of the pitches they get from Quantrill and the offense will be able to carry the team here while Soroka tries to figure things out against this bad lineup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Braves to win this game.

Braves Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 5, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Braves 7 Guardians 1.

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Atlanta Braves: 57-27 (+17.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 51-21 (+16.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 21-13 UNDER when the total is 10 or higher. MIKE SOROKA is 8-3 UNDER on the road with a money line of -100 to -150.

Cleveland Guardians: 11-17 (-10.6 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 13-22 (-11.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 9-2 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10. 26-13 UNDER in home games.

Atlanta Braves:  E. Adrianza (2B) Mid July - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Mid July - Shin. D. Lee (SP) Late July - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. M. Fried (SP) Late July - Forearm. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  J. Naylor (1B) Ques Tues - Wrist. T. McKenzie (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. P. Battenfield (RP) Late July - Shoulder.

“You don’t want to get a drink or go to the bathroom if he’s around because you might miss something you’ve never seen before. He’s a special player and it’s fun to have him on our team and be able to watch him every day.” - Brian Snitker on Ronald Acuna Jr. after his team’s win against the Guardians in their game on Monday.

“You make a mistake sometimes and this is a lineup, probably the ultimate lineup, that if you leave something over the plate. They hit two the other way." - Terry Francona on the Braves lineup after his team’s loss against the Braves in their game on Monday.

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Sean Murphy (R) C

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Steven Kwan (L) LF

Amed Rosario (R) SS

Jose Ramirez (S) 3B

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

Andres Gimenez (L) 2B

Josh Bell (S) DH

Will Brennan (L) RF

Myles Straw (R) CF

Bo Naylor (L) C

Batting Average:  Ronald Acuna (.335)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (113)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (28)

RBI:  Matt Olson (68)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (40)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (10)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (15)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Josh Naylor (.295)

Hits:  Jose Ramirez (91)

Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (13)

RBI:  Josh Naylor (60)

Stolen Bases:  Steven Kwan (13)

Wins:  Shane Bieber (5)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (24)

ERA:  Konnor Pilkington (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)

Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)