Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/04/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, July 4, 2023

Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  BSGL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -115, Guardians -105; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -115, Guardians -105; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Braves -115, Guardians -105; Over/Under:  9 runs

Atlanta Braves:  56-27 (1st place, NL East)

Cleveland Guardians:  41-42 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Atlanta Braves:  9-1 last 10

Cleveland Guardians:  6-4 last 10

The Braves are entering this series on an 8 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-27 record overall and have a road record of 26-12. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .838 OPS. Bryce Elder is their starting pitcher on Monday while Kolby Allard is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. His team won their only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 3 hits through 4.2 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Guardians are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 41-42 record overall and have a home record of 20-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .686 OPS. Rookie pitcher Gavin Williams is their starting pitcher on Monday while Shane Bieber is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-5 with a 3.48 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 8 strikeouts on 2 hits through 6 innings played against the Kansas City Royals.

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians haven't been great this season but they have been getting a lot better in their games lately and are now in a position to take over the lead of the AL Central. They are going to have a really tough task on their hands here with the red hot Braves coming into town but the Guardians do have an advantage here with the pitching matchup and even though their offense has been bad this season, they have been putting up a ton of runs in their last few games. The Guardians also have Bieber starting here who is their ace and he has been really good in his home starts this year. He hasn't given up many runs at all at home this year and as hot as the Braves offense has been, Bieber will be able to shut this lineup down at home. The Braves have Allard starting and he was good in his last start but it has also been his only start this season due to injury and the Guardians offense has been starting to get hot in their games now. This win streak has been impressive for the Braves but it is bound to come to an end and this is the best spot for it to happen. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.

Braves Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 4, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Guardians 3 Braves 1.

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Atlanta Braves: 56-27 (+16.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 50-21 (+15.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 7-4 UNDER after sweeping a 3 game series against a division rival. KOLBY ALLARD is 11-4 UNDER when working on 5 or 6 days rest.

Cleveland Guardians: 11-16 (-9.6 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 13-21 (-10.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 8-2 UNDER at home when the total is 8.5 to 10. 25-13 UNDER in home games.

Atlanta Braves:  E. Adrianza (2B) Mid July - Shoulder. J. Chavez (RP) Mid July - Shin. D. Lee (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Wright (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. M. Fried (SP) Mid July - Forearm. T. Matzek (RP) out for season - Elbow. H. Ynoa (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Cleveland Guardians:  T. McKenzie (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow. P. Battenfield (RP) Late July - Shoulder.

“We went into a lot of series against some really good teams playing really well. They don't get caught up in all that. They're about today's game.” - Brian Snitker after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Sunday.

“He’s a hard guy to give a day off because he leads off against lefties and righties, and he plays left field really well. He’s just a hard guy to replace. But then you kind of think, OK, if you get a little stubborn and don’t, you might lose him for a week, which doesn’t make a lot of sense.” - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Cubs in their game on Sunday.

Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF

Ozzie Albies (S) 2B

Austin Riley (R) 3B

Matt Olson (L) 1B

Travis d'Arnaud (R) C

Marcell Ozuna (R) DH

Eddie Rosario (L) LF

Orlando Arcia (R) SS

Michael Harris II (L) CF

Andres Gimenez (L) 2B

Amed Rosario (R) SS

Jose Ramirez (S) 3B

Josh Naylor (L) 1B

Josh Bell (S) DH

Will Brennan (L) RF

David Fry (R) LF

Myles Straw (R) CF

Cam Gallagher (R) C

Batting Average:  Ronald Acuna (.336)

Hits:  Ronald Acuna (112)

Home Runs:  Matt Olson (28)

RBI:  Matt Olson (68)

Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (39)

Wins:  Spencer Strider (10)

Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (14)

ERA:  Dereck Rodriguez (0.00)

Batting Average:  Josh Naylor (.301)

Hits:  Jose Ramirez (91)

Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (13)

RBI:  Josh Naylor (60)

Stolen Bases:  Steven Kwan (13)

Wins:  Shane Bieber (5)

Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (24)

ERA:  Konnor Pilkington (0.00)

Managers:

Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (8th season)

Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)