Arkansas Razorbacks vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/05/2023

Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 25, 2023

Venue:  Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +8.5, Alabama -8.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +8.5, Alabama -8.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Arkansas +8.5, Alabama -8.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Arkansas Razorbacks:  19-9 (8-7) (7th place, SEC)

Alabama Crimson Tide:  24-4 (14-1) (1st place, SEC)

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Arkansas Razorbacks:  3-2  last 5

Alabama Crimson Tide:  4-1  last 5

Arkansas is coming into this game with a 19-9 record overall and they are 2-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 8-7 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Florida Gators and the Georgia Bulldogs in their last game. Nick Smith Jr. led the team in points in that game with 26 while Ricky Council IV was next on the team with 22 points. Anthony Black led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Jordan Walsh led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 63.8% from the field, 55% from 3-point range, and 54.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.5 PPG against them. Arkansas has an ATS record of 14-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 11-16-1.

Alabama is coming into this game with a 24-4 record overall and they are 13-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 14-1 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Georgia Bulldogs and the South Carolina Gamecocks in their last game. Brandon Miller led the team in points in that game with 41 while Charles Bediako was next on the team with 10 points. Jaden Bradley led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Charles Bediako led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 43.5% from the field, 25.9% from 3-point range, and 68% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.6 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 16-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 13-14-1.

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama enters this game as a ranked team with their 24-4 record overall but they are also one of the best teams in the country and have been ranked in the top 5 for most of the season. They are still undefeated in their home games this year with a 13-0 home record and they only have 1 defeat in the SEC all season with their 14-1 conference record. They are back on a roll again after their last set back with 2 wins in a row now and their 1 win at home during that time was a huge win by double digits. Arkansas has also been having a good season this year as they are 19-9 overall but they have been struggling a lot more in the SEC with their 8-7 conference record. They have also been terrible in their road games with a 2-6 road record. They do have some momentum with 2 wins in a row now but those wins also came against some bad teams in the SEC while Alabama has been rolling over everyone they encounter in the conference, especially in their home games. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game. 

Arkansas Alabama Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 25, 2023 (2:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 82 Arkansas 68.

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Arkansas Razorbacks: 17-8 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5. 28-14 ATS off a home win. 8-2 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more.

Alabama Crimson Tide: 17-27 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5. 16-31 ATS after one or more consecutive overs. 11-6 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite.

Arkansas Razorbacks:  T. Brazile (F) out for season - Knee.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  None.

"We defended them pretty well for most of the game and they got hot down the stretch. They’re an explosive offensive team, so we’re going to have to defend.” - Eric Musselman on Alabama coming into this game against them.

“It's what they've done their whole lives and let some of the outside stuff out of their mind. I thought Brandon did a great job really getting himself mentally ready to play.” - Nate Oats after his team’s win against South Carolina in their last game.

A. Black 

R. Council 

D. Davis 

M. Mitchell 

J. Walsh

C. Bediako 

J. Bradley 

N. Clowney 

B. Miller 

M. Sears

PPG: R. Council IV (16.6)

APG: A. Black (4.4)

Reb/G: T. Brazile (6)

PPG: B. Miller (19.5)

APG: J. Bradley (3.5)

Reb/G: B. Miller (8)

Coaches:

Arkansas Razorbacks: Eric Musselman (4th season)

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (4th season)