Arizona Diamondbacks vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/16/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Jul 15, 2023
Game Time: 1:37 pm ET, Sunday, July 16, 2023
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  SNET


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +140, Blue Jays -165; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +140, Blue Jays -165; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  D-Backs +140, Blue Jays -165; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

Season Record

Arizona Diamondbacks:  52-40 (2nd place, NL West)
Toronto Blue Jays:  51-41 (3rd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Arizona Diamondbacks:  4-6 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 last 10



Arizona Diamondbacks vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis


The Diamondbacks are entering this series off of a loss but won their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-40 record overall and have a road record of 26-16. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .754 OPS. Zac Gallen is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Tommy Henry is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 5-1 with a 3.75 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 4 BB with 2 Ks on 2 hits through 6 IP against the New York Mets.

The Blue Jays are entering this series off of a win and won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-41 record overall and have a home record of 24-18. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Diamondbacks on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Chris Bassitt is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Yusei Kikuchi is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 7-3 with a 4.24 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 4 strikeouts on 8 hits through 5 innings played against the Chicago White Sox.


Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Diamondbacks listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Diamondbacks have been rolling this season with one of the best offenses in the MLB but now they have fallen out of 1st place in the NL West and they will be looking to get back on track as they try to chase down the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks have a better road record this season than they do at home and they also have a solid starter on the mound with Tommy Henry. Henry has been really good in his starts lately since he hasn't been giving up many runs and has even been better in his road starts. The team has also had a lot of success with him, winning 6 of their last 7 games with him starting, and he also has a really good offense behind him for run support. The Blue Jays are going with Kikuchi in this game and he has been a lot better this season than he was last season, but he was also terrible last year and has still been giving up quite a few runs in his starts lately as he gave up 4 runs in his last start. The Blue Jays do have a good offense but they have been so up and down all season and have started sliding down the ranks lately too. The Diamondbacks will put up runs on the Blue Jays here while the Jays offense struggles more with Henry pitching so well lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Diamondbacks to win this game.

Diamondbacks Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 16, 2023 (1:37 pm ET start time) is Diamondbacks 7 Blue Jays 5.
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MLB Betting Trends


Arizona Diamondbacks: 52-40 (+14.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 26-16 (+13.3 units) on the moneyline in road games. 15-8 UNDER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10. 14-7 UNDER in an inter-league game. 

Toronto Blue Jays: 37-29 (-8.5 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 24-18 (-5.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. 23-15 UNDER in home games. 9-5 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175.

Key Injuries


Arizona Diamondbacks:  C. Sulser (RP) Late July - Shoulder. D. Jameson (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. M. Kelly (SP) Late July - Calf. M. Melancon (RP) Late July - Shoulder. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.

Toronto Blue Jays:  K. Gausman (SP) day-to-day - Abdominal. J. Romano (RP) Ques Sat - Back. C. Green (RP) Late July - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Late July - Elbow. A. Cimber (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“We ran into an inning worth of outs on the bases. We just weren’t very heads up. We did not play anything close to the game that we normally play.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Friday.


“I liked the way we played. We’re going to continue to play with the same intensity. It’s excellent right now.” - Vladimir Guerrero Jr after their win against the Diamondbacks in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Arizona Diamondbacks
Geraldo Perdomo (S) SS
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Corbin Carroll (L) LF
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) DH
Evan Longoria (R) 3B
Jake McCarthy (L) RF
Gabriel Moreno (R) C
Alek Thomas (L) CF

Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) RF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Brandon Belt (L) DH
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Whit Merrifield (R) 2B
Daulton Varsho (L) LF
Danny Jansen (R) C
Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF

Statistical Leaders


Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average:  Dominic Fletcher (.301)
Hits:  Ketel Marte (93)
Home Runs:  Corbin Carroll (18)
RBI:  Christian Walker (58)
Stolen Bases:  Corbin Carroll (26)
Wins:  Zac Gallen (11)
Saves:  Andrew Chafin (8)
ERA:  Kevin Ginkel (2.38)

Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Ernie Clement (.429)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (124)
Home Runs:  Bo Bichette (15)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (59)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (19)
Wins:  Jose Berrios (8)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (26)
ERA:  Jay Jackson (1.13)

Managers:
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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