by Hollywood Sports
Sunday, Jul 27, 2025Keegan Bradley entered Sunday of the PGA Travelers Championship last month, trailing Tommy Fleetwood by three strokes at 13 under par. Bradley started the tournament strong by shooting 6 under par in the opening round on Thursday. After settling for a round at par on Friday, he shot seven under par on Saturday to put himself in position, tied with Russell Henley. Once again, Fleetwood struggled in the final round at a PGA tournament as he only shot a round of 70 at par to open the door for one of the chasers. Bradley shot two under par to hold off both Fleetwood and Henley, who shot one under par in Round Four to win the tournament by one stroke at 15 under par. It was the eighth career win on the PGA Tour for the 39-year-old.
There were several reasons to be bullish on Bradley heading into this event. Our Top Overlay Bet on the golfer who offered the most value relative to the odds was on him as he was listed at +3500 odds at DraftKings. Bradley followed up a tie for seventh place at the Memorial with a tie for 33rd place at the US Open. Bradley is the captain of the US Ryder Cup team but remains adamant he will not name himself to the team unless he qualifies outright — so he needed to perform well at tournaments like this to officially qualify for the team he will be overseeing.
Bradley was already having a great year. He finished in a tie for sixth place at the PGA Sony Open in January before finishing in a tie for fifth place at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and then a tie for eighth place at the PGA Championship last month. He ranked 26th in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee and 28th in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green — and he ranks fourth in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green. He ranked 14th in Shots-Gained: Around the Green. He ranked sixth in the field in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green from 100 to 150 years from the pin.
Bradley won this event in 2023 — and after his tie for 39th place last year, he was the number one money-winner at this tournament. He was just one of eight in the field with multiple top 15 finishes at this event — and he ranked fifth in course history at TPC River Highlands overall</b>. He was on the record indicating he always circles this tournament on his calendar after growing up in the northeast of Massachusetts and playing his collegiate golf at St. John’s.
We also won our head-to-head prop bet with Bradley, who was linked with Jordan Spieth in Tournament matchup head-to-head props. Spieth followed up a tie for seventh place at the Memorial with a tie for 23rd place at the US Open last week. But Spieth’s value in the nostalgic betting market outstrips the deeper analytics. He was struggling with his irons as he ranks 54th on the PGA Tour in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green. He also ranks even worse in his likely second shot distance at this course — he was 137th in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green from 175 to 200 yards from the hole and 144th in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green from 150 to 175 yards from the pin. He ranks 91st in Greens in Regulation — and he was just 76th in Shots-Gained: Putting.
Spieth did win this tournament in 2017 when he was in much better form (and I used to back him back then from time to time). In his last five trips to TPC River Highlands since that triumphant debut here, he had finished in 42nd place in 2018, missed the cut in 2019, finished in 54th place in 2020, missed the cut in 2022, and settled for 64th place last year. Spieth withdrew from the tournament on Day One, so this was an easy winner for us.
Regulars have now earned over 72 weeks of free rolls from previous PGA Tour winnings the last three summers -- meaning they could invest their X into our Best Bet, Top Overlay, and Long Shot each week for the next 72 events and still keep a profit. That will keep working!
Best of luck — Frank.
There were several reasons to be bullish on Bradley heading into this event. Our Top Overlay Bet on the golfer who offered the most value relative to the odds was on him as he was listed at +3500 odds at DraftKings. Bradley followed up a tie for seventh place at the Memorial with a tie for 33rd place at the US Open. Bradley is the captain of the US Ryder Cup team but remains adamant he will not name himself to the team unless he qualifies outright — so he needed to perform well at tournaments like this to officially qualify for the team he will be overseeing.
Bradley was already having a great year. He finished in a tie for sixth place at the PGA Sony Open in January before finishing in a tie for fifth place at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and then a tie for eighth place at the PGA Championship last month. He ranked 26th in Shots-Gained: Off-the-Tee and 28th in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green — and he ranks fourth in Shots-Gained: Tee-to-Green. He ranked 14th in Shots-Gained: Around the Green. He ranked sixth in the field in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green from 100 to 150 years from the pin.
Bradley won this event in 2023 — and after his tie for 39th place last year, he was the number one money-winner at this tournament. He was just one of eight in the field with multiple top 15 finishes at this event — and he ranked fifth in course history at TPC River Highlands overall</b>. He was on the record indicating he always circles this tournament on his calendar after growing up in the northeast of Massachusetts and playing his collegiate golf at St. John’s.
We also won our head-to-head prop bet with Bradley, who was linked with Jordan Spieth in Tournament matchup head-to-head props. Spieth followed up a tie for seventh place at the Memorial with a tie for 23rd place at the US Open last week. But Spieth’s value in the nostalgic betting market outstrips the deeper analytics. He was struggling with his irons as he ranks 54th on the PGA Tour in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green. He also ranks even worse in his likely second shot distance at this course — he was 137th in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green from 175 to 200 yards from the hole and 144th in Shots-Gained: Approach the Green from 150 to 175 yards from the pin. He ranks 91st in Greens in Regulation — and he was just 76th in Shots-Gained: Putting.
Spieth did win this tournament in 2017 when he was in much better form (and I used to back him back then from time to time). In his last five trips to TPC River Highlands since that triumphant debut here, he had finished in 42nd place in 2018, missed the cut in 2019, finished in 54th place in 2020, missed the cut in 2022, and settled for 64th place last year. Spieth withdrew from the tournament on Day One, so this was an easy winner for us.
Regulars have now earned over 72 weeks of free rolls from previous PGA Tour winnings the last three summers -- meaning they could invest their X into our Best Bet, Top Overlay, and Long Shot each week for the next 72 events and still keep a profit. That will keep working!
Best of luck — Frank.
