Alabama Crimson Tide vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/19/2025

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 19, 2025

Venue:  Mizzou Arena, Columbia, MO

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Alabama -1.5, Missouri +1.5; Over/Under:  171.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Alabama -1.5, Missouri +1.5; Over/Under:  171.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Alabama -1.5, Missouri +1.5; Over/Under:  171.5 points

Alabama Crimson Tide:  21-4 (10-2) (2nd place, SEC)

Missouri Tigers:  19-6 (8-4) (5th place, SEC)

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Alabama Crimson Tide:  4-1  last 5

Missouri Tigers:  3-2  last 5

Alabama is entering this game with a 21-4 record overall, a 10-2 record in conference games, and they are 8-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Auburn Tigers in their last game. Mark Sears led the team in points per game in that game with 18 while Grant Nelson was next on the team with 12. Mark Sears and Labaron Philon each led the team in assists with 2 in that game while Grant Nelson and Clifford Omoruyi each led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 38.6% from the field, 19.2% from 3-point range, and 74.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 90.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 79.1 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 14-11 this season and their O/U record is 13-11-1.

Missouri is entering this game with a 19-6 record overall, an 8-4 conference record, and they are 16-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Georgia Bulldogs in their last game. Anthony Robinson II and Caleb Grill each led the team in points in that game with 15 while Mark Mitchell was next on the team with 14. Anthony Robinson II led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Mark Mitchell, Anthony Robinson II, Trent Pierce, and Caleb Grill each led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 47.1% from the field, 31% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69 PPG against them. Missouri has an ATS record of 15-10 this season and their O/U record is 13-12.

The current betting odds have Missouri listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Missouri has looked really good in their games this season with their 19-6 record overall and their 8-4 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 16-1 home record which is one of the best in the nation. Meanwhile, Alabama has looked really good in their games this season with their 21-4 record overall and their 10-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They have also been a great road team this year with their 8-1 road record. They have looked great lately as they are 4-1 in their last 5 games and are ranked like one of the best teams in the nation with the way they have played all season, but they are coming off a home loss to Auburn in their last one and that is going to be a tough loss for them to bounce back from. Missouri is only 3-2 in their last 5 games, but they are coming off a road win over Georgia by double digits in their last one and have some momentum on their side with 2 wins in a row now. Missouri also has some impressive wins this season so they can take advantage of Alabama after a bad loss in a game they really wanted to win. Missouri has the talent to go toe-to-toe with Alabama in this one and that loss could still be lingering for Alabama here while Mizzou looks at this game as an opportunity to add to their resume against one of the best teams in the nation. The best way to place a bet here is on Missouri to cover the spread in this game. 

Alabama Missouri Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, February 19, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Missouri 88 Alabama 82.

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Alabama Crimson Tide: 8-3 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 7-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 28-18 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 11-3 OVER when the line is +3 to -3. 7-2 OVER off a loss against a conference rival. 30-19 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.

Missouri Tigers: 20-33 ATS in all home games. 10-18 ATS after playing a road game. 2-9 ATS versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25 free throws/game or more. 13-2 OVER versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season. 33-16 1H OVER after 1 or more consecutive wins. 

Alabama Crimson Tide:  H. Mallette (G) Questionable - Knee. L. Wrightsell (G) Out - Achilles. N. Cunningham (F) Out - Redshirt.

Missouri Tigers:  T. Burns (C) Questionable - Foot.

“It's not an easy stretch, the last seven games, is probably the hardest seven-game stretch of anybody in the country at any point. We've got three home games and three road games left in the last six games of the year. And we've got to bring it.” - Nate Oats after his team’s loss against Auburn in their last game. 

“Our defense stepped up. We were able to create points off turnovers, (and) Ant Robinson had a big half. It was really good to see him step up.” - Dennis Gates after his team’s win against UGA in their last game. 

G. Nelson 

C. Omoruyi 

L. Philon 

M. Sears 

J. Stevenson

T. Bates 

M. Mitchell 

T. Perkins 

T. Pierce 

A. Robinson

PPG: M. Sears (17.8)

APG: M. Sears (4.8)

Reb/G: G. Nelson (8.3)

PPG: T. Bates (13.3)

APG: A. Robinson (3.3)

Reb/G: J. Gray (5.2)

Coaches:

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (6th season)

Missouri Tigers: Dennis Gates (3rd season)