AMEDEUS' NBA HARDCOURT HAMMER!

Handicapper

Amedeus Mastrangelo

League

NBA

Competition

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Time

05/04/2024 07:07 PM

Bet Type

Point Spread

Pick

Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5 (-110) (BetOnline)

Outcome

Win

Analysis

The Timberwolves are coming into this game after sweeping the Suns in the last round. They are going up against a Nuggets team that beat the Lakers 4-1 in their last series. The Nuggets have been one of the better home teams in the NBA this season at 33-8, but the Timberwolves have also been very good on the road at 26-15. The Timberwolves are the 3rd seed while the Nuggets are the 2 seed but the Nuggets only finished with 1 more win than the Timberwolves as they were both fighting for the number 1 seed down to the last game of the season and these two also split their series during the regular season 2-2 so there is not much to separate these two sides. The Timberwolves are coming into this game on fire with those 4 straight wins and they are going to be hungry for revenge here as the Nuggets knocked them out of the playoffs last season, losing 4-1 in that series, so expect the Timberwolves to get up for this game and push for the win. The Timberwolves were 1-10 in their last 11 games against the Suns before sweeping them in the last round so they have the talent to turn this narrative against Denver around here, especially since most of the games the Nuggets played them in this season the Timberwolves were not fully healthy for, but now they are. The Nuggets have also been a very mediocre team this season when it comes to cover the spread as they covered less than 50% of their games this season while the Timberwolves covered in over 50% of their games, and that has held true in the playoffs as the Timberwolves are 4-0 ATS with an upset win on the road while the Nuggets are only 2-3 ATS and failed to cover the spread in 2 of their home games that they were a favorite in. The Timberwolves are live to win this game and they will cover the spread here.